NBA開賽至今 誰在領跑MVP排行榜?

Historically, there are four factors that go into determining the MVP. There is no magic formula (as people have fruitlessly tried to develop them) because "value" itself is not the type of thing you can nail down. It is deliberately ethereal in nature, and it can change from one day to the next.

從歷史上看，決定MVP有4個因素。不存在所謂魔法公式（有人試圖列出來，那純粹是徒勞無功），因爲“價值”本身就不是那種你可以確定其類型的東東。它在本質上是有意爲之的虛幻飄渺，而且隨着時間流逝，也會發生種種變化。

Just as your house changes in value from one year to the next, even if it remains exactly the same, numerous other factors play into things that cause it to go up or down. Value is not a constant, and neither are the relative pulling factors, but there are primarily four factors which affect the notion of "value" when it comes to the MVP award.

正如你的房子一樣，一年一年，它的價值會發生變化，即便房子和以前完全一模一樣，也有許多其他因素摻雜其中，影響到其價值的上升或下降。價值 不是一個常數，也不是相對的推動因素，但在MVP的評選中，主要有4個因素影響“價值”這一概念。

Stats matter

數據至關重要

Stats matter. Typically, the MVP doesn't have to be the best player statistically, but he does have to be a top-five player. This traditionally includes the box score numbers and more recently also involves how well a player does in the advanced stats.

數據至關重要。通常情況下，MVP不一定是統計數據最好的球員，但他必須成爲前五。這通常包括各項技術統計，近來還涉及到球員的高階數據的表現。

Kawhi Leonard, who fares better in the advanced numbers which reflect defensive impact, for instance, did better in the voting last year than he might have in previous years. Isaiah Thomas, who's Defensive Real Plus-Minus, was horrible, probably got hurt in the MVP vote.

例如，科懷-倫納德，他在反映防守影響力的高階數據上表現得更好，這讓他在去年比起往年來收穫了更多的投票。伊塞亞-托馬斯，他的真實防守正負值，可能使他在MVP投票中很受傷。

Still, Russell Westbrook's win was mostly powered by the fact that he averaged a triple-double, so don't overlook the importance of the basic numbers in the minds of voters.

儘管如此，拉塞爾-威斯布魯克當選MVP大多是基於他場均拿下三雙的成績這一事實，所以不要忽視投票者心目中基礎數據的重要性。

Winning

勝場

I've seen and heard a lot of people suggest that Westbrook winning last year means that "winning doesn't matter anymore." I'm hesitant to agree with that. I think that was an exception to the rule, not a change in the rules.

我見到很多人都認爲威斯布魯克去年的勝利意味着“勝場不再重要”。我並不十分贊同。我認爲這是規則的一個例外情況，而不是改變了規則。

It was the first time since Michael Jordan's first MVP win in 1987-88 that a player won that didn't have a top-two seed.

這是自邁克爾-喬丹在1987-88賽季獲得MVP以來的第一次，該球員所在球隊並非分區前兩名。

Before extrapolating that as a change in voting behavior, I have to see more than one exception to the rule. I think in this case the other factors just outweighed the winning factor.

在斷定投票行爲確實有此變化之前，我需要更多的例證。我認爲在這種情況下，是因爲其他因素剛好壓制了勝場因素。

teamates

隊友

There are only two times in NBA history where an MVP winner had a teammate finish in the top five in voting. Jordan and Scottie Pippen in 1995-96 and Moses Malone and Julius Erving in.

1982-83. NBA歷史上，只有兩次MVP得主，其隊友所獲票數也在前五之列，這是1995-96賽季的喬丹和斯科蒂-皮蓬，在1982-83賽季的摩西-馬龍和朱利葉斯-歐文。

It's a careful balance between having teammates who are good enough to help you win, but not so good that they draw votes away from you in the voting. This could be a little more interesting this year with so many superstar tandems being the new norm in the NBA.

有一位足夠優秀的隊友幫助你取勝是一個很好的平衡，但他們也會在投票中分走你的選票。今年這會變得更有趣，因爲聯盟現在有已成常規的衆多的超級巨星組合。

Narrative

故事

For better or worse, "narrative" is a thing. Kobe Bryant won his award, in part because of "career achievement." Derrick Rose humble origins won him a lot of support when he won in 2010-11. And Russell Westbrook's triple-double chase was a big part of him getting votes. Narrative matters to voters, whether it should or not.

不管是好是壞，“故事”也佔很大比重。（我有故事，你有酒嗎？）科比-布萊恩特獲獎，部分是因爲“職業成就”。德里克-羅斯出身低微，讓他在2010-11賽季贏得了很多的支持。拉塞爾-威斯布魯克的場均三雙是他獲得選票的重要部分。“故事”對投票者至關重要，不管是否它本應如此。

These four factors each weigh in but they are not constants in how much they matter. My rankings are based on how each of the players is measuring up based on each. And with that introduction, here are the first rankings of the year.

這四個因素分量各不相同，但它們佔比並非一成不變。我的排名是基於每一個球員在每個單項上應該如何衡量而作出的。開場白到此打住，以下是今年第一期排名。

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo

1. 揚尼斯-阿德託昆博

The "Greek Freak" is the leader out of the gates, and with good reason. He's averaging 34.7 points, 10.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists, along with 2.0 steals and 0.8 blocks. He's doing that while shooting a ridiculous 63.1 percent from the field.

第一位隆重出場的是 “希臘怪物”，理由當然很充分。他場均得34.7分，10.7個籃板和5.5次助攻，2個搶斷，送出0.8次蓋帽。與此同時，他的投籃命中率是令人驚詫的63.1%。

His advanced stats are even better with a 67.8 true shooting percentage. He leads the NBA in Player Efficiency Rating (36.5), Win Shares (1.7), Win Share per 48 (.351), Box Plus-Minus (12.5) and VORP (0.9).

他的高階數據甚至更好，真實命中率爲67.8%，在以下各項排名中均位列第一：球員效率值（36.5，PER）、勝利貢獻值（1.7，WS），每48分鐘的勝利貢獻值（0.351，WS per 48），技術統計正負值（12.5，BPM）和VORP值（0.9） （絕對價值差）。

If he keeps that kind of dominance up, he might win regardless, but the one big concern that could hold him back is whether the Milwaukee Bucks can fight for a top-two seed in the East.

如果他繼續打出這種統治級的表現，毫無疑問他會獲得MVP，但最讓人擔心的是，密爾沃基雄鹿隊能否在東部奪得前兩名的席位。

2. James Harden

2. 詹姆斯-哈登

Harden is averaging 25.6 points, 9.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds this season. That's not quite where he was last year but it's still pretty impressive totals.

本賽季哈登平均每場得25.6分，有9.4次助攻和4.9個籃板。這和去年的數據大有不同，但總的來說還是非常可觀的。

He also has the Rockets competing for the No. 1 seed with a 5-2 record while his superstar teammate, Chris Paul, has missed most of the season with a knee injury. And really, where would be without Harden finishing second in the voting?

他也讓火箭有了爭奪西部第一的實力，目前球隊5勝2負。而且他的隊友克里斯-保羅，另一位超級巨星，因爲膝傷錯過了好幾場。真的，哈登如果不是在投票中名列第二，那他會在哪個位置呢？

3. Blake Griffin

3. 布雷克-格里芬

Griffin is averaging 24.8 points, 9.6 boards and 4.4 assists in leading the Clippers to the NBA's best record and the best scoring differential in the wake of Paul's departure via trade. Their net rating is also 12.4 points better with Griffin on the court.

格里芬平均每場拿下24.8分，有9.6個籃板和4.4次助攻，帶領快船隊獲得NBA現今最佳戰績，也是在保羅被交易離隊之後，球隊打出了最好的獲勝分差。格里芬在球場上時，他們的淨積分是12.4分之高。

He has a great chance to climb up the rankings quickly if the Clippers continue to establish themselves as one of the NBA's elite teams, but this early, skepticism is understandable.

如果快船繼續把自己打造成NBA的一流球隊，格里芬很有可能快速提升排名，但是現在排名第三，對他的綜合能力略有質疑，也是可以理解的嘛。

4. Stephen Curry

4. 斯蒂芬-庫裏

The Warriors are only 4-3, which is a pretty big shock. They've been playing bored through the first part of the season and have not been engaged on the defensive end. But we can't jettison preseason expectations entirely just two weeks into the season.

勇士僅以4勝3負開局，這相當令人震驚。他們在整個賽季的前面幾場比賽打得相當無趣，並且沒有積極參與防守。但是我們不能僅僅因爲兩週的比賽就拋棄賽季前的預期呀。

Curry is second in the league in Win Shares and whoever leads the Warriors in Win Shares will get the most votes on the team. It would be a shock if the Warriors didn't finish with the NBA's best record.

庫裏在聯盟勝利貢獻值（WS）排名中位列第二，而且我們知道，誰在勇士隊中的勝利貢獻值最高，他也會獲得球隊最多的選票。如果勇士沒有收藏NBA最好的記錄，那就太讓人驚訝了。

5. John Wall, Washington Wizards

5. 約翰-沃爾，華盛頓奇才

The Eastern Conference seems a bit up for grabs with Gordon Hayward injured and the Cavaliers floundering. The best player on the team that wins that top seed will likely be in the MVP conversation.

在東部，這個位置蠻有點待價而沽的味道。凱爾特人的戈登-海沃德受傷，騎士隊掙扎不已。贏得東部頭號種子的球隊中最好的球員，很可能參與到MVP的競逐中來。

Right now, it looks like the Washington Wizards might the favorites for that (with apologies to the Detroit Pistons; I need to see more first). At 21.7 points and 10.3 assists per game, Wall would be the favorite then.

現在看來，華盛頓奇才可能是最受歡迎的（向底特律活塞說聲道歉，因爲我需要看到更多實力的展現）。隊中最好的球員是沃爾，場均得21.7分和送出10.3次助攻，那麼就是他了。

Honorable Mention (in alphabetical order): Jimmy Butler, Kawhi Leonard, DeMarcus Cousins, LeBron James, Russell Westbrook.

其他提名（按字母順序）：吉米-巴特勒（森林狼），科懷-倫納德（馬刺），德馬庫斯-考辛斯（鵜鶘），勒布朗-詹姆斯（騎士），拉塞爾-威斯布魯克（雷霆）

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